Distributed vs consolidated advertising

My primary goal is connection success rate and my secondary goal is a fast connection time.  Which advertising method is better: Advertise with a long interval and long window or with short interval and short window?  Is it generally true that if the total time spent advertising is equivalent, the connection success rate is equivalent?  For example I have 2 sets of advertising parameters:

Set 1 - Interval=100s, window=20s

Set 2 - Interval=10s, window=2s

After 100s, is the connection success rate roughly equivalent under both sets?  The peripheral is the nRF and the central is a cell phone so the scan parameters are not fixed but for analysis I am assuming scan parameters are fixed.  Can anyone provide equations for calculating the connection success rate given total time spent advertising, advertising interval/window, and scan interval/window?  I am assuming if the scan window overlaps with the advertising window, the connection will be successful.  Thank you.

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  • So for set 1, the device starts up, and you need to scan and connect within 20 seconds, if you are not connecting within 20 seconds, you need to wait 80 seconds before you can try again. That's quite a long time.
    Set 2, device starts up, if you are not connecting within the 2 seconds, you need to wait 8 seconds before you can try again.

    My primary goal is connection success rate

    1) What's your definition of "connection success rate"? 

    2) Is is a human that needs to connect, or is the scanning& connection initiation automated?

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